Author Topic: Shutdown Chess: GOP's Finale Offer  (Read 1570 times)

Offline JohnyMac

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Shutdown Chess: GOP's Finale Offer
« on: October 27, 2025, 12:16:43 PM »
Shutdown Chess: GOP's Final Offer to End the Stalemate and Win Long-Term

Folks, we're on Day 27 of this government shutdown, and it's a mess - 800,000 furloughed, SNAP for 40 million at risk by Nov 1, and air travel snags piling up. As a former West Marine VP, I always played the long game, not chasing short-term wins that fade like a sugar high. This shutdown's a political chessboard, and the GOP needs to sacrifice a knight to capture the queen. Here's my take on how they can end this now, dodge the "healthcare for illegals" trap, and lock in a full budget by Dec 31 for a real win. Think Lenin in 1921: "One step backward, two steps forward."

The play: Push a "final offer" vote this week (Oct 28-30) for a clean CR with a small concession -ACA credits for citizens only, no "illegals" funding. Hammer Dems on X and ads for holding SNAP hostage over their $1.5T ACA/IRA demands. If they don't bite, nuke the filibuster mid-November with as many Dem crossovers as possible (target Kelly, Ossoff, Slotkin, and others) to look like adults in the room. The queen? A full 2026 budget by Dec 31, with border security and no immigrant healthcare. Here's the strategy:

MoveWhy It WorksRisksPrepper Take
"Final Offer" Vote NowForces Dems to reject publicly, shifts blame (58% hit GOP now). Flips 2-4 swing Dems (Fetterman's already pro-CR).Dems hold firm; looks like posturing if Schumer's bloc stays tight.Stock comms gear - X posts (@SenatorRicketts) show Dem hypocrisy. Prep for info wars.
Propaganda BlitzAds in AZ/GA/MI pressure Kelly/Ossoff. X (#SchumerShutdown2025) calls out Dems - 13 prior CR yes-votes.Media spins mutual blame; base hates ACA "cave" unless framed citizen-only.Stay sharp - gov't chaos proves why we prep. Stock food for SNAP cuts.
Mid-Nov Nuke (If Needed)Ends shutdown, heroes for Thanksgiving. 5-10 pt. approval spike; sets up budget win.Sugar high fades; Dems nuke back in 2027. Thune's anti-nuke stance splits GOP.Plan for gridlock - budget or not, system's shaky. Stockpile now.
ACA Credits for Budget$500B for citizens trades for $15B border funds, no immigrant healthcare. Full budget by Dec 31 "first since" 97.Base backlash; Dec crunch risks default. Dems push more (IRA, debt ceiling).Self-reliance key - budget or shutdown, gov't won't save you. Prep long-term.

This ain't caving - it's chess. Give ACA credits (citizens only) to get a CR and a budget that locks in GOP priorities. Dems "end game" $1.5T for subsidies, some for illegals - gets checkmated. If they block the vote, nuke by mid-Nov for hero optics before the holiday. Long-term, a budget avoids CR nonsense and strengthens 2026 midterms. Preppers, this is why we stock up - gov't drama proves the system's fragile. Stay ready, stay sharp, and as Jim always says, "keep your head on a swivel".

As always, just my take and thoughts. What's your move on this chessboard?

Sources for NEMO : Polls (Reuters, CNN, Rasmussen), X posts, House Appropriations, Newsweek. Not advice - think for yourself.

 :popcorn:
« Last Edit: October 27, 2025, 12:47:05 PM by JohnyMac »
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Offline Nemo

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Re: Shutdown Chess: GOP's Finale Offer
« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2025, 04:46:18 PM »
Yea, sorry, but I am one of those pencil neck cite your source dweebs.

Nemo
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Offline JohnyMac

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Re: Shutdown Chess: GOP's Finale Offer
« Reply #2 on: October 27, 2025, 05:29:13 PM »
Nemo,  :dance: :lmfao: :cheers:
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Offline Felix

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Re: Shutdown Chess: GOP's Finale Offer
« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2025, 10:40:54 AM »
Part of the chess moves?   looking ahead regardless of...?

https://www.lucianne.com/2025/10/30/pentagon_orders_quick_reaction_force_of_500_troops_per_state_reports_158319.html

I will brew some tea later today and consult the tea leaves.

Major solar project moving along, completion before end of year in sight - only hope it's not too late!

Offline Nemo

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Re: Shutdown Chess: GOP's Finale Offer
« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2025, 10:45:15 AM »
Anyone want to try to guess end dates on the stand off?

I suspect between Tuesday, Nov 4 and Fri, Nov 7. 

Pushing things off to after the elections, so the Dems can scream we fought for you for all we could.

Nemo
If you need a second magazine, its time to call in air support.

God created Man, Col. Sam Colt made him equal, John Moses Browning turned equality to perfection, Gaston Glock turned perfection into plastic fantastic junk.

Offline Jackalope

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Re: Shutdown Chess: GOP's Finale Offer
« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2025, 06:54:00 PM »
    Went to a Dollar General store today, and it was a zoo.  I guess people needed to zero out their EBT cards.  It looked like a supermarket just before a big snowstorm.

     The longer the Democrats wait to finalize a continuing resolution, the hungrier people are going to get, and the more likely there will be violence.  But I guess that?s what the Democrats want.

Offline JohnyMac

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Re: Shutdown Chess: GOP's Finale Offer
« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2025, 08:58:33 AM »
There are $42M Americans on SNAP benefits. How did that happen? Certainly Civid-19 played a part but????
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Offline Nemo

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Re: Shutdown Chess: GOP's Finale Offer
« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2025, 12:18:16 PM »
With governor election going on in Va, Gov Youngkin said the state would take over the payment for November.  Noted elsewhere around here.

Bad news for elections of his Lt. Gov up to Gov were food stamps not in place.

Very good strategic move for Youngkin and Earle-Sears.

I have heard no comments on the bad side (trump stopped food stamps) or good side (youngkin/sears saved the day) in the political campaigns.  But I have no doubt that the word has got around. 

And there is that Court Ruling that the govt cannot withhold allocations to states and must send money from the emergency fund.  But that appears like it cannot happen under current laws.

As to how/why it happened, see second link below.

Nemo

https://virginiamercury.com/2025/10/28/virginia-snap-substitute-to-roll-out-weekly-through-november/


https://www.foxnews.com/media/snap-beneficiaries-threaten-ransack-stores-over-government-shutdown

Quote
"It is the taxpayer?s responsibility to take care of my kids," one emotional mother said in a video posted online. "It is the taxpayer's job to pay for my kids to eat and for my kids to be taken care of."

Quote
The user went on to ask how she was supposed to feed her seven children.

"I have seven different baby daddies and none of ?em no good for me," she said.
« Last Edit: November 01, 2025, 12:32:58 PM by Nemo »
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Offline Nemo

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Re: Shutdown Chess: GOP's Finale Offer
« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2025, 01:56:59 PM »
Details on Court Decision regarding paying Snap benefits from emergency fund.

Nemo

https://apnews.com/article/snap-shutdown-lawsuits-deadline-4af8b0dec6cd31cddd023cc99c131b73?hl=en-US
If you need a second magazine, its time to call in air support.

God created Man, Col. Sam Colt made him equal, John Moses Browning turned equality to perfection, Gaston Glock turned perfection into plastic fantastic junk.